Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.526945 0.582184 0.641701 0.710750 0.788844 0.874648 0.976359
2025-09-14 0.430687 0.505434 0.591999 0.700310 0.833101 0.991749 1.197364
2025-09-21 0.376031 0.459145 0.560126 0.693113 0.865521 1.084081 1.386299
2025-09-28 0.328658 0.413540 0.520512 0.667088 0.865643 1.129561 1.514279
2025-10-05 0.307186 0.397236 0.514585 0.681401 0.916888 1.244348 1.746724
2025-10-12 0.288472 0.382039 0.507605 0.692021 0.962167 1.353564 1.983069
2025-10-19 0.270807 0.366258 0.497726 0.696524 0.997645 1.450609 2.211772
2025-10-26 0.255325 0.351953 0.488228 0.699887 1.030585 1.545858 2.448540
2025-11-02 0.242782 0.340661 0.481797 0.706625 1.068448 1.651672 2.715805
2025-11-09 0.225870 0.321633 0.462291 0.691164 1.068823 1.695455 2.879660
2025-11-16 0.216305 0.312803 0.457318 0.697808 1.105371 1.803032 3.172886
2025-11-23 0.204848 0.300258 0.445594 0.692299 1.120438 1.874118 3.406268
2025-11-30 0.195897 0.291176 0.438906 0.694931 1.150500 1.976674 3.720092
2025-12-07 0.184929 0.278252 0.425209 0.684604 1.156542 2.035518 3.954195
2025-12-14 0.175618 0.267374 0.414050 0.677604 1.167666 2.104736 4.220475
2025-12-21 0.163588 0.251387 0.393418 0.652269 1.142052 2.098676 4.318756
2025-12-28 0.159740 0.248603 0.394704 0.666203 1.192429 2.251006 4.804409
2026-01-04 0.155508 0.244897 0.394115 0.676540 1.236595 2.395518 5.297574
2026-01-11 0.150562 0.239683 0.390537 0.680923 1.269083 2.518718 5.760539
2026-01-18 0.145769 0.234454 0.386579 0.684197 1.299462 2.640728 6.243499
2026-01-25 0.141783 0.230397 0.384436 0.690755 1.337252 2.784038 6.812243
2026-02-01 0.134886 0.220870 0.371827 0.675706 1.327126 2.814187 7.069838
2026-02-08 0.131467 0.217352 0.370032 0.682174 1.364721 2.963058 7.702793